NFL Picks Live Trades

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📺 Sky Sports NFL — Week 11 Broadcast Games

Featured Sky fixtures with tactical lay notes

Atlanta Falcons @ Indianapolis Colts

Kickoff: Sun 9 Nov, 14:30 UK

Line: Colts -2.5 • Total ~45.5

  • Favourite: Colts (home)
  • Lay angle: Moderate — Falcons’ ground game volatility, Colts chalk at home.

Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins

Kickoff: Sun 9 Nov, 18:00 UK

Line: Bills -2.0 • Total ~49.0

  • Favourite: Bills (road)
  • Lay angle: Yes — Miami speed (Hill/Waddle) tilt live, Buffalo chalk vulnerable.

New England Patriots @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Kickoff: Sun 9 Nov, 18:00 UK

Line: Buccaneers -3.5 • Total ~44.0

  • Favourite: Buccaneers (home)
  • Lay angle: Caution — Pats offense limited, but rogue dog lane if Tampa stalls.

Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks

Kickoff: Sun 9 Nov, 21:05 UK

Line: Seahawks -4.0 • Total ~46.0

  • Favourite: Seahawks (home)
  • Lay angle: Moderate — Cards rogue tilt, Seattle chalk can wobble.

Detroit Lions @ Washington Commanders

Kickoff: Sun 9 Nov, 21:25 UK

Line: Lions -3.0 • Total ~47.0

  • Favourite: Lions (road)
  • Lay angle: Yes — Commanders home tilt, Lions chalk inflated.

Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers

Kickoff: Sun 9 Nov, 21:25 UK

Line: 49ers -6.0 • Total ~48.0

  • Favourite: 49ers (home)
  • Lay angle: Yes — divisional volatility, Rams tilt live if Stafford connects.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Los Angeles Chargers (SNF)

Kickoff: Mon 10 Nov, 01:20 UK

Line: Chargers -3.0 • Total ~45.0

  • Favourite: Chargers (home)
  • Lay angle: Moderate — Steelers defense tilt, rogue dog lane.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Green Bay Packers (MNF)

Kickoff: Tue 11 Nov, 01:15 UK

Line: Eagles -2.5 • Total ~48.0

  • Favourite: Eagles (road)
  • Lay angle: Yes — Packers home tilt, rogue variance if Lambeau fires.

Sky’s Week 11 broadcast slate: Falcons v Colts, Bills v Dolphins, Pats v Bucs, Cards v Seahawks, Lions v Commanders, Rams v 49ers, Steelers v Chargers, Eagles v Packers. Contest‑safe, volatility‑tagged, crew‑ready.

🏆 Game of the Week — Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins (Week 11)

Sunday, Nov 09, 2025 • 18:00 UK • Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL

Line: Bills -2.0 • Total: 49.0

Why this is the feature

  • QB duel: Allen v Tagovailoa — explosive arms, both top‑10 in yards/play.
  • Bills profile: Balanced offense (27.0 PPG), defense stingy vs run.
  • Dolphins profile: Hill/Waddle speed tilt, home scoring avg 29.2 PPG.
  • Volatility: Both teams rank top‑5 in explosive plays → live for late drama.

Projection: Bills 27 — Dolphins 26

  • Best bet: Over 49.0 total points
  • Best bet: Dolphins +2.0 (home dog equity)

🎯 Player props (system angles)

  • Josh Allen (BUF): Over 1.5 passing TDs (-120)
    Miami concede 1.9 passing TDs/g.
  • Stefon Diggs (BUF): Anytime TD (+110)
    Red‑zone target share ≈26%.
  • Tua Tagovailoa (MIA): Over 250 passing yards (-115)
    Bills secondary allows 245 yds/g.
  • Tyreek Hill (MIA): Over 6.5 receptions (-110)
    High‑volume outlet in shootout script.

🧩 Bet builders (script‑mapped)

Builder 1 — Bills control

  • Leg: Bills ML
  • Leg: Allen Over 1.5 TDs
  • Leg: Diggs Anytime TD

Script: Allen efficiency, Diggs red‑zone dominance, controlled win.

Builder 2 — Rivalry shootout

  • Leg: Over 49.0 total
  • Leg: Tua Over 250 yds
  • Leg: Hill 7+ receptions
  • Leg: Both teams Over 1.5 TDs

Script: Back‑and‑forth scoring, stars dominate volume lanes.

Builder 3 — Tight margin

  • Leg: Dolphins +2.0
  • Leg: Hill Anytime TD
  • Leg: Game decided by 1–6 points

Script: Dolphins push at home, margin tight, volatility live.


Contest‑safe, volatility‑tagged, crew‑ready. Drop under the NFL Digest for Week 11.

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🎯 NFL Week 11 Prop & Totals Trixies

Sky broadcast games spotlighted — actionable plays only

Touchdown Scorer Trixie

  • Tyreek Hill (Dolphins) — Anytime TD
  • Mike Evans (Buccaneers) — Anytime TD
  • Cooper Kupp (Rams) — Anytime TD

Yardage Trixie

  • Josh Allen (Bills) — Over 249.5 passing yards
  • Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins) — Over 250.5 passing yards
  • Christian McCaffrey (49ers) — Over 84.5 rushing yards

Bonus Prop Trixie

  • Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers) — Over 1.5 passing TDs
  • Lamar Jackson (Ravens) — Over 44.5 rushing yards
  • Stefon Diggs (Bills) — Anytime TD (+110)

Totals Trixie

  • Bills vs Dolphins — Over 49.5
  • Patriots vs Buccaneers — Over 44.0
  • Rams vs 49ers — Over 47.5
Wrap: Four trixies framed — TD scorers, yardage, bonus props, and totals. Contest‑safe, volatility‑tagged, morale‑ready.

🔥 NFL Week 9 Extras

Optional spice — morale plays, not core system

Longshot Anytime TD Double

  • Ja’Marr Chase (Bengals) — Anytime TD (+140)
  • Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins) — Anytime TD (+175)

Two explosive WRs at chunky prices, both live in shootout scripts.

Alt Line Teaser (Insurance Lane)

  • Chiefs -1.5 (alt spread)
  • Dolphins/Bills Over 42.5 (alt total)
  • Bears/Packers Under 47.5 (alt total)

Pulled lines for safer coverage — low‑variance multi.

Defensive/Spice Props

  • T.J. Watt (Steelers) — Over 0.5 sacks
  • Jaire Alexander (Packers) — Over 1.5 passes defended

Defensive props add volatility spice and brag‑line potential.

Rogue Outsider

  • Tee Higgins (Bengals) — First TD scorer (+1000)

One rogue dart for the crew — contest‑safe if framed as “fun only.”

Wrap: Extras framed as optional spice — longshot TDs, alt‑line teaser, defensive props, and one rogue outsider. Contest‑safe, morale‑ready.

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